Davydenko – what was happening?

Nikolas Davydenko has had his fair bit of publicity relating to betting scams, but I don’t feel what I am going to talk about today will be investigated.

I trade plenty of tennis matches, but never get involved in any match the Davydenko plays.

Let me set the the scene to this movement.

Davydenko’s Betfair SP = 1.16

Davydenko’s trading price at end of set 1 = 1.06/1.07 (he took it 6-3)

Davydenko breaks in set 2 = 1.04

Now this is where the carnage starts, Davydenko playing well calls for the Doctor giving off signs of illness.

Losing 3-2 Monaco breaks to love and holds to lead the set 4-3, below is a snapshot of the Betfair graph at 3-3 and then again 4-3

Now no doctor or trainer actually appeared on the court and the price on Betfair bounced back to 1.70 before Davydenko served the first point in game 8.

What alerted me to something that may be going was the £1million on the back side (laybet) at 1.06 around the time all this started.

I supposed you can guess what happened the next 2 games?

Yes; very easy Davydenko held and then broke to make it 5-4, the graph below shows how the market came back in line as quickly as it went out.

I guess there may be plenty of conspricacy theories on what happen.

• Was the illness a sign?
• Where did that £1 million laybet come from? (waiting to be matched)
• Was the change of racket at 0-15 the confirmation Davydenko was to get broken this game?
• Why didnt the doctor come on court?

Now, I am not suggesting anything suspect went on here, I am just presenting the that facts on what happened to the Betfair market and the score in the match at the time.